Black Horse Update – 10/12/2022

A while back I posted a blog about the outbreak of the bird with the title “White Horse Assists Black Horse” on 5/17/2022. (See “Black Horse Archives” in main menu.) Wild birds can be infected with HPAI and show no signs of illness and has been detected in all but 5 states as per article last modified Oct. 5, 2022.

2022 bird flu outbreaks in US poultry

No Big Thanksgiving Meals for many this year.

The Economic Condition Of America Will Be Laid Bare This Thanksgiving

From the article:

If you love to cook, this upcoming Thanksgiving may be a real challenge for you.  Thanks to a resurgence of the bird flu, supplies of turkey are getting tighter and tighter.  Sadly, the same thing is true for eggs.  And as you will see below, reduced milk production is sending the price of butter into the stratosphere.  

Thanks to soaring prices, a traditional Thanksgiving dinner will be out of reach for millions of American families this year, and that is extremely unfortunate.  Of course all of this is happening in the context of a horrific global food crisis that is getting worse with each passing day.  Yes, things are bad now, but they will be significantly worse this time next year.

The bird flu pandemic that has killed tens of millions of our chickens and turkeys was supposed to go away during the hot summer months, but that didn’t happen.  And now that the weather is starting to get colder again, there has been a resurgence of the bird flu and this is “devastating egg and turkey operations in the heartland of the country”…

Turkeys are selling for record high prices ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday as a resurgence of bird flu wipes out supplies across the US.

Avian influenza is devastating egg and turkey operations in the heartland of the country. If just one bird gets it, the entire flock is culled in order to stop the spread. Millions of hens and turkeys have been killed in recent weeks. As a result, prices for turkey hens are nearly 30% higher than a year ago and 80% above pre-pandemic costs. Just as concerning are inventories of whole turkeys, which are the lowest going into the US winter holiday season since 2006. That means there will be little relief from inflation for Thanksgiving dinner….

****

Energy plays a huge role in agriculture. Nitrogen, is a very important element in fertilizers and it is made from Natural Gas. Russian sanctions caused a big increase in it because we imported 30% of our usage of it from them. I KNOW! Why can’t we make our own from our own Natural Gas instead of ramping up Gas production for the EU?

President Biden said the United States would send more natural gas to Europe, though he did not specify how given that the U.S. is already near its export capacity.

Last year a 50 lb. bag of 15.5 % calcium Nitrate was $16.95. Recently got a bag for collards and it was $28.95. That’s a 41% increase! Collards are a main dish in Eastern NC for thanksgiving. Putting the 50 lbs. on my leftover plant beds for my winter use. [Couldn’t afford diesel to put in a big crop for locals. Retired anyway!]

{Not hard to guess what I think of JB’s energy policy!}

*It takes gas and fuel to process, can and ship foods too!*

Here’s How The Energy Crisis Will Accelerate The Food Crisis

From the article:

The cost of living is going nowhere but up. Everyone has been touched by skyrocketing inflation, high fuel prices, and the availability of certain supplies. And now, we’re facing a massive energy crisis. We’ve seen the signs for a while but theory is quickly becoming reality.

Energy prices in Europe have catapulted to dizzying heights, leaving some folks facing bills of up to $10,000. And the United States is not untouched. Prices for power are already escalating here. Anecdotally, my own utility bill for September was double the price of my bill for August, and I used less energy. This upward trend is growing more common if my inbox is any indication.

But it isn’t just the price of essential utilities like heating and cooking that are going to be affected. The price and availability of food will be affected as well.

We’re about to get handed a food crisis….

Will we be affected by a food crisis in the United States?

I fear that Europe is the canary in the economic coal mine. I think it’s only a matter of time before the United States sees the same thing. We’ve already gotten glimpses of a fertilizer shortage – The OP posted about it here back in 2021. This was worsened when Russia vowed to halt fertilizer exports.

But it goes much further than that. Resilience.org published an article about the big picture.

Food security is being threatened by problems with distribution chains for all the inputs into the agricultural system–from spare parts to packaging to cooking fuel. Once again, as with energy prices, there are several mutually interacting causes, including lingering effects of the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war. The latter has led to the loss of wheat shipments from Ukraine and Russia, which together are responsible for nearly 30 percent of world supplies. Recently, Russia has rained missiles on Odesa, a major port for grain shipments, further disrupting global food distribution….

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Winter looking grim for many!

From the article:

“We’re actually beyond the precipice at this point,” Yon told SiriusXM’s Breitbart News Daily. “We’re falling. It’s too late. There’s going to be famine, and the question is, ‘How big and how many people are going to get hit?'”

Yon said some people “talk about energy as if everything’s interchangeable, as if solar panels and windmills and nuclear plants can replace natural gas, which [they] simply cannot.”

He noted that of the 26 major plants in Europe that produce nitrogen-based fertilizers, all are either closed down or on the verge of closing.

“This will lead to famine. It’s just mathematics at this point,” he said.

****

Got a wood stove?

Fear Rising For Winter Season – Europeans Panic Buy Firewood And Stoves

From the article:

As natural gas and electricity prices soar, many European households turn to firewood, a move to offset higher energy costs as the heating season begins. Rising demand for firewood is sending much of Europe back to the ‘medieval’ days of using stoves and fireplaces to heat homes.

The sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline system underneath the Baltic Sea from Russia to Germany sparked even more energy uncertainty among Germans as many brace for what could be the coldest and possibly even the darkest winter in a generation due to rising risks of power blackouts.

On Friday, European Union leaders failed to agree on a price cap for NatGas as the energy crisis might worsen this winter as freezing weather could quickly draw down supplies from storage facilities and catapult prices even higher.

About 70% of Europeans use NatGas to heat their homes, and according to Bloomberg, some 40 million people are now burning wood to heat their homes. New demand for a heat source that’s been around for ages has doubled the price of wood pellets per ton to 600 euros in France.

Bloomberg pointed out Europeans are “panic buying the world’s most basic fuel.” Demand is so high that Hungary banned exports of wood pellets, and Romania capped firewood prices through spring.

“It’s back to the old days when people wouldn’t have the whole house heated,” said Nic Snell, managing director at British wholesale firewood retailer Certainly Wood. He added firewood is in high demand.

****

How does energy affect food production?

Farm Fertilizer, Food Processers and Canneries need natural gas!

See “The Domino Effect – Higher Electricity Prices – It’s Totally Gas-a-nomical!” 10/22/22, and “Nord Stream Sabotage – Who Did It?” 10/3 in archives.

Ezekiel 6

KJV(i) 1 And the word of the LORD came unto me, saying, 2 Son of man, set thy face toward the mountains of Israel, and prophesy against them, 3 And say, Ye mountains of Israel, hear the word of the Lord GOD; Thus saith the Lord GOD to the mountains, and to the hills, to the rivers, and to the valleys; Behold, I, even I, will bring a sword upon you, and I will destroy your high places. 4 And your altars shall be desolate, and your images shall be broken: and I will cast down your slain men before your idols. 5 And I will lay the dead carcases of the children of Israel before their idols; and I will scatter your bones round about your altars. 

6 In all your dwelling places the cities shall be laid waste, and the high places shall be desolate; that your altars may be laid waste and made desolate, and your idols may be broken and cease, and your images may be cut down, and your works may be abolished. 7 And the slain shall fall in the midst of you, and ye shall know that I am the LORD. 8 Yet will I leave a remnant, that ye may have some that shall escape the sword among the nations, when ye shall be scattered through the countries. 

9 And they that escape of you shall remember me among the nations whither they shall be carried captives, because I am broken with their whorish heart, which hath departed from me, and with their eyes, which go a whoring after their idols: and they shall lothe themselves for the evils which they have committed in all their abominations. 10 And they shall know that I am the LORD, and that I have not said in vain that I would do this evil unto them. 

11 Thus saith the Lord GOD; Smite with thine hand, and stamp with thy foot, and say, Alas for all the evil abominations of the house of Israel! for they shall fall by the sword, by the famine, and by the pestilence. 12 He that is far off shall die of the pestilence; and he that is near shall fall by the sword; and he that remaineth and is besieged shall die by the famine: thus will I accomplish my fury upon them. 13 Then shall ye know that I am the LORD, when their slain men shall be among their idols round about their altars, upon every high hill, in all the tops of the mountains, and under every green tree, and under every thick oak, the place where they did offer sweet savour to all their idols. 14 So will I stretch out my hand upon them, and make the land desolate, yea, more desolate than the wilderness toward Diblath, in all their habitations: and they shall know that I am the LORD.

Amos 8:11-14

Behold, the days come, saith the Lord GOD, that I will send a famine in the land, not a famine of bread, nor a thirst for water, but of hearing the words of the Lord: And they shall wander from sea to sea, and from the north even to the east, they shall run to and fro to seek the word of the LORD, and shall not find it. In that day shall the fair virgins and young men faint for thirst. They that swear by the sin of Samaria, and say, Thy god, O Dan, liveth; and, The manner of Beersheba liveth; even they shall fall, and never rise up again.

Come out of Babyylon for her judgement is near.

LOLGB+

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